An skilled on MLB wage arbitration initiatives the Crimson Sox Jarren Duran to stroll away with a wage of $11.1 million in 2027, and in keeping with a minimum of one commentator, that determine will push Boston Crimson Sox to make a troublesome resolution on the five-year veteran earlier than the Nov. 20 deadline.
That determine for 2027 comes after a career-worst season and sits atop a category of 17 arbitration-eligible gamers, essentially the most in baseball, in keeping with MLB Commerce Rumors‘ arbitration analyst Matt Swartz.
Duran earned $7.7 million in 2026 after Boston declined an $8 million membership possibility and the perimeters prevented a listening to, in keeping with Spotrac. The sports activities enterprise website places its personal 2027 estimate for Duran at $10.5 million, near the MLB Commerce Rumors quantity. The 30-year-old batted .207 with a .266 on-base proportion, 20 residence runs, 69 RBI and 21 stolen bases in 151 video games. He struck out a team-high 165 occasions, a price of as soon as each 3.7 journeys to the plate.
That output produced a 76 OPS+ and 0.4 wins above alternative, a steep fall from 2024, when he posted 9.0 WAR, gained All-Star Recreation MVP and completed eighth in AL MVP voting.
| BOSTON RED SOX — PROJECTED 2027 ARBITRATION SALARIES (17 PLAYERS) | ||
|---|---|---|
| Participant | Service Time | Projected Wage |
| Tanner Houck | 5.100 | $4.1MM |
| Johan Oviedo | 5.079 | $1.8MM |
| Adley Rutschman | 5.000 | $9.1MM |
| Jarren Duran | 4.155 | $11.1MM |
| Eli White | 4.140 | $1.4MM |
| Kutter Crawford | 4.136 | $2.8MM |
| Connor Wong | 4.079 | $2MM |
| Romy González | 4.044 | $1.8MM |
| Triston Casas | 4.032 | $1.7MM |
| Andruw Monasterio | 3.099 | $1.6MM |
| Zack Kelly | 3.080 | $800K |
| Greg Weissert | 3.079 | $1.2MM |
| Wilyer Abreu | 3.041 | $4.6MM |
| Erik Miller | 3.000 | $1.5MM |
| Justin Slaten | 3.000 | $1.2MM |
| Jahmai Jones | 2.148 | $900K |
| Tyron Guerrero | 2.133 | $1.1MM |
| Supply: MLB Commerce Rumors, “Projected Arbitration Salaries For 2027” — mlbtraderumors.com | ||
Jarren Duran Non-Tender Query for Boston Crimson Sox
“$11.1M for Duran. Been in commerce rumors for years however the non-tender dialog is gonna be had too. That mentioned if he hits FA I really feel like that’s round what he’d get from a staff chasing the upside,” Play Tessie host Nat Gordon wrote in a submit on X Friday.
Gordon framed it as a subject for dialogue, not a prediction, and his caveat undercuts the case: if free company would pay Duran about the identical for his upside, a non-tender arms that worth away for nothing.
“That is going to be a doozy of a non-tender deadline for the Crimson Sox, who’ve a number of calls to make,” Chris Cotillo of MassLive wrote Friday.
A non-tender would save the money and return nothing, in keeping with Sports activities Illustrated, which sees $11.1 million as robust to defend after two straight down years and as a possible impediment in commerce talks.
Boston Crimson Sox Commerce Market and Non-Tender Record
Boston stored Duran by way of commerce talks earlier than 2025, on the 2025 deadline, earlier than 2026 and on the 2026 deadline.
Duran is the Crimson Sox participant probably to be traded this offseason, in keeping with Sports activities Illustrated‘s Jackson Roberts.
Duran ranks fourth on the outfield depth chart behind Roman Anthony, Ceddanne Rafaela and Wilyer Abreu, and his commerce worth “took a nosedive,” ESPN‘s David Schoenfield wrote. Schoenfield nonetheless expects a taker, citing two years of remaining management. Duran turns into arbitration-eligible once more in 2028 and reaches free company in 2029.
A commerce earlier than Nov. 20 would return property and hand one other membership the tender resolution, whereas a non-tender returns nothing. The $11.1 million projection raises the worth of maintaining Duran whereas trimming his commerce worth.
Adley Rutschman is projected at $9.1 million, Wilyer Abreu at $4.6 million and Tanner Houck at $4.1 million, in keeping with MLB Commerce Rumors.
The again finish of the category holds the tougher decisions, with Connor Wong at $2 million, Romy González at $1.8 million, Andruw Monasterio at $1.6 million and Eli White at $1.4 million. Kutter Crawford, projected at $2.8 million, seems amongst six doable 2027 offseason departures.
Duran’s $11.1 million projection is the biggest determine on Boston’s record.
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